The Center’s analysis called its election map the Democratic Party’s “doomsday map” if Biden remains in the race. Not only does it show the potential for a Trump victory, it also puts several states that have been Democratic strongholds, such as Virginia, Maine and Minnesota, in the toss-up or leaning Republican.

The Rasmussen survey shared with Secrets found that in Arizona, which Biden won by 10,457 votes in 2020, Trump led 50%-41%. In Georgia, which Biden won by 12,670 votes, Trump led 48%-43%. In Nevada, which Biden won by 33,596 votes, Trump leads 50%-45%. Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania, which Biden won by 81,660 votes in 2020, is 47%-44%. Trump also leads in Wisconsin, which Biden won by 20,682 votes, 48%-46%. In Michigan, Biden won by a wide margin of 154,188 votes, and he and Trump are tied at 46% each.

The possibility of Biden losing the election has Democrats scrambling to push Biden out of the race. He’s ignoring their efforts in part because no other candidate is doing much better than he is in a two-way race.

Late last week, many media outlets said the push would succeed, but now those reports look like embarrassingly wrong predictions as Biden’s team is in strong shape.

Some of the key findings from Rasmussen-Heartland’s battlefield research include:

In a two-way race, 52% of whites, 28% of black voters, and 54% of Latinos and other minorities would vote for Trump, while 41% of whites, 64% of black voters, 37% of Latinos and 34% of other minorities would vote for Biden.

In the two-way matchup, Biden and Trump are now tied among voters under 40 in the battleground state, who decisively went for Biden four years ago. Trump leads by eight points among 40-64 year-olds and by five points among voters 65 and older.

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There is a significant gender divide among voters in the crucial states, with men favoring Trump by an 11 percentage point margin in the two-way race, while women voters are evenly split between Trump and Biden.

In every state with a U.S. Senate race, the Democratic Senate candidate is outperforming Biden against the GOP opposition. For example, in Arizona, where Trump leads Biden by nine points, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego has a three-point lead over Republican Kari Lake, in the race for the Senate seat vacated by the retirement of Sen. Kyrsten Sinema.